Rising China, Donald Trump, and the Coming Post-American World
President Donald Trump’s early statements promise to turn Seventy years of US Foreign policy on its head. By antagonizing Angela Merkel, the NATO alliance, the European Union Japan, Korea, Mexico, NAFTA, and China, courting Russia, and declaring a new “America first” philosophy, President Trump has raised fundamental questions about whether the United States will continue to play its essential and historic role guaranteeing global peace, security, and prosperity. This reassessment of America’s role in the world, paired with the rising power of China and Russia, is ushering in a new and dangerous post-American world. Similar tectonic shifts in the international system have occurred in conjunction with great conflict. The peace of Westphalia followed the Thirty Years War, the Congress of Vienna followed the Napoleonic wars, and the establishment of the UN followed WWII. As we return to the pre-war model of absolute sovereignties, spheres of influence, and balances of power, it is likely we will see heightened levels of conflict around the world as a new equilibrium is created. In this wide-ranging talk spanning centuries, foreign affairs expert Jamie Metzl explores the geopolitical and economic implications of the Trump presidency for international relations and global economics.
Can China Avoid Economic Crisis?
With China's investment and manufacturing-based growth strategy losing steam, the country will need to find a new model if it is to avoid stagnation or even economic crisis. China's leaders have excellent plans for this transition, but major questions remain about whether they can realize these plans under the constraints of their current political system. Asia and foreign relations expert Jamie Metzl discusses the bubbles, bottlenecks and problems facing the Chinese economy, China's impact on American and global trade, and the world implications of a sputtering Chinese economy.
Homo Sapiens 2.0: Genetic Enhancement, Bioethics, and the Future of Humanity
After 250,000 years of evolution, our species is on the verge of taking active control of our genetics. The human genetic engineering revolution will not only revolutionize our reproduction process, it will also allow us to eliminate genetic diseases which have plagued our ancestors for millennia and to select or even engineer the traits of our children. The genetics revolution will be the greatest opportunity of our era and also the greatest challenge - and it has already begun. Author and technology and national security expert Jamie Metzl has testified before Congress written widely on these issues and explores the most important topic being largely ignored by the global media.
What You Need to Know About Asia in One Hour and One Slide
Asia’s rapid rise is reversing a current of westernized globalization that has flown for five hundred years. Understanding how Asia is transforming itself and the world is no longer just a matter of curiosity for outsiders, it is essential to making smart decisions. In this wide-ranging talk spanning thousands of years and multiple cultures, Asia expert Metzl draws on history, culture, science, technology, and politics to explain the background, drivers, and implications of Asia’s rise.
Are We on the Verge of a Genetic Arms Race?
The revolution in human genetic engineering that will make it possible for us to manage our evolutionary process for the first time in our species’ history is already underway. In laboratories and clinics around the world, gene therapies are being successfully tested to treat a range of diseases including immune deficiency, hemophilia and cancer; fetuses are being genetically screened to optimize the in vitro fertilization process. This miraculous progress is only a first step. Although we will soon eliminate many diseases which have victimized humans for hundreds of thousands of years, the same already existing technologies can and will be used to alter our genes and design our babies to make them smarter, stronger, and more robust.
The prospect of genetic engineering will be exciting to some, frightening to others, and challenging for all. It will also raise critical issues likely to lead to major conflict both within societies and globally if not adequately addressed. But while the science of human genetic engineering is charging forward at an exponential rate, the global policy framework to ensure this scientific progress does not lead to global conflict barely exists at all. In this talk, Metzl explores the global national security implications of the human genetics revolution and what can be done to try to avoid dangerous conflict.
Homo Sapiens 2.0: Genetic Enhancement and the Future of Humanity
After 250,000 years of evolution, our species is on the verge of taking active control of our genetics. The human genetic engineering revolution will not only revolutionize our reproduction process, it will also allow us to eliminate genetic diseases which have plagues our ancestors for millennia and to select or even engineer the traits of our children. The genetics revolution will be the greatest opportunity of our era, and also the greatest challenge, and it has already begun. Author and technology and national security expert Jamie Metzl has testified before Congress written widely on these issues and explores the most important topic being largely ignored by the global media.
Rising China and the Dangerous Beginning of a Post-American World
Fast-rising China is not just changing Asia, it is fundamentally transforming the global order. China’s economic growth, military expansion, aggressive behavior in the South and East China Seas, growing presence around the world, and increasingly emboldened foreign policy present a growing challenge to the US-led global system created in the aftermath of the Second World War. With America less able to serve as guarantor of the international system, and Europe incapable of realizing a coordinated foreign policy strategy and unwilling to invest sufficiently in military readiness, efforts to address major crises, promote a single set of rules governing the global economy, and support human rights around the world are faltering. Living in a post-American world will have enormous consequences and touch every aspect of our lives. In this exciting talk, Metzl gives explores the key drivers of our fundamentally transforming world, what it will mean for global politics, economics, and culture, and what kinds of collective action will be required to lay a foundation for a stable future.
Human Resource Management in a Genetic Age
Corporations have struggled for decades to build open and inclusive workplaces comfortable to people of all races, nationalities, genders, ages, and sexual orientations. In the fast-arriving genetic age, companies will need to figure out such issues as whether to cover embryo selection and embryonic genetic engineering for employees and how to deal with genetic IQ estimates derived before birth from the sequenced genomes of potential employees. While this may seem like science fiction, the beginnings of this future are already here. Today’s debate about whether or not companies should cover egg freezing expenses for female employees is only a first step in a genome-based transformation that will alter our perception of workforce capabilities and potentials and challenge even the most forward-thinking of corporations.
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Learn more about changemaker, geopolitics and biotechnology expert, and futurist novelist Jamie Metzl.
Is Trump conducting foreign relations via Twitter?
A Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council and former Senior Advisor in the State Department in the Clinton Administration, Jamie Metzl brings his decades worth of experience and insights on Asia to the subject of President-Elect Trump's possible affront to China. Jamie offers important points to the discussion in this Bloomberg segment.Watch the discussion here > >
Homo Sapiens 2.0? Jamie Metzl, Senior Fellow for Technology and National Security at the Atlantic Council, calls for a species-wide conversation about the future of human genetic enhancement.
With the science of genetic human enhancement moving forward exponentially, we will have big social problems if an inclusive public conversation does not accompany this miraculous technological advancement.
Jamie Metzl is a Senior Fellow of the Atlantic Council, novelist, blogger, syndicated columnist, media commentator, and expert in Asian affairs and biotechnology policy. He previously served as Executive Vice President of the Asia Society, Deputy Staff Director of the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Senior Coordinator for International Public Information at the U.S. State Department, Director for Multilateral Affairs on the National Security Council, and as a Human Rights Officer for the United Nations in Cambodia. He is a former Partner and current Advisory Board member of a New York-based global investment firm and ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House of Representatives from Missouri’s Fifth Congressional District in Kansas City in 2004. He has served as an election monitor in Afghanistan and the Philippines, advised the government of North Korea on the establishment of Special Economic Zones, and is the Honorary Ambassador to North America of the Korean Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy.
Jamie appears regularly on national and international media discussing Asian economic and political issues and his syndicated columns and other writing on Asian affairs, genetics, virtual reality, and other topics is featured regularly in publications around the world. He has testified before Congress outlining emergency preparedness recommendations after 9-11 and on the national security implication of the biotechnology and genomics revolutions. Jamie is the author of A History of the Cambodian Genocide and the novel The Depths of the Sea, both published by St. Martin’s Press, as well as of the novel Genesis Code, published by Arcade in November 2014, which deals with issues of human genetic enhancement in the context of a future US-China rivalry. His new novel, Eternal Sonata, will be published by Arcade in Fall 2016.
A founder and Co-Chair of the national security organization Partnership for a Secure America, Jamie is a board member of the International Center for Transitional Justice and the American University in Mongolia, a member of the Advisory Board of theBrandeis International Center for Ethics, Justice, and Public Life and 92Y's Center for Innovation and Social Impact, and a former board member of Park University and of the Jewish refugee agency HIAS. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and is a former White House Fellow and Aspen Institute Crown Fellow. Jamie holds a Ph.D. in Asian history from Oxford, a JD from Harvard Law School, and is a magna cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa graduate of Brown University. He has completed twelve Ironman triathlons, twenty-eight marathons, and nine ultramarathons.